Wednesday, May 28, 2025

THE MISSING CHAPTER - "THE MERCHANTS OF MENACE"

 Exciting news! I've just discovered a chapter which I failed to include in my new book, "The Merchants of Menace," recently published online. I'm posting it below as a complementary addition. ENJOY!  L.P.

PHOSPHORUS: A STUDY IN CONTRASTS.


One of the lakes at the Experimental Lakes Area in Ontario, separated with a heavy "sea-curtain." Carbon, nitrogen and phosphorus were added to the bottom part, but only carbon and nitrogen to the top. The murky colour at the bottom indicates dense algal blooms, dramatically portraying the role of phosphorus in eutrophication. 
An International Institute for Sustainable Development (IISD) image. 

Groundbreaking research directed by the late, internationally-renowned water expert, David Schindler in 1969 - depicted in the famous image above - clearly showed the world that phosphates were the main culprits in the eutrophication process, settling an ongoing dispute over their role in laundry detergents. To drive his point home, Schindler wrote in findings of the Royal Society in 2012;

The only method that has had proven success in reducing the eutrophication of lakes is reducing input of phosphorus. The Canadian Government responded quickly, banning high-phosphate laundry detergents and requiring that phosphorus be removed by sewage treatment plants in the Great Lakes Basin in 1973. The result was one of the biggest success stories in environmental science and policy.

Lakes Erie and Ontario, and many other lakes where phosphorus inputs were controlled, began to recover within a few years. It was exciting to do science that had such an immediate and important impact on ecosystem protection. Phosphorus control policies were enacted in many countries. Many jurisdictions from North America to Europe imposed at least partial bans, too.

Yet, almost as if phosphorus in laundry detergents was especially damaging, while the same in pig manure was somehow benign - significant action was taken to address the former - nothing for the latter. Not unlike the pork sector and its enablers, the lucrative detergents industry had indignantly tried to place the blame elsewhere, insisting that the problem lay, not with phosphates at all, but with carbon, or perhaps nitrogen!

Meanwhile, the hog lobby remains quick to point the finger of “eutrophication blame” almost exclusively at human waste rather than its own, copious by-product. In 2011, when a de facto ban on new barn construction was still in effect, the Chair of the Manitoba Pork Council, Karl Kynoch, scolded politicians at a legislative committee hearing;

One of the most infuriating things about this total ban on new hog production is the unfairness of it all. You have not treated any other group in Manitoba with the same mean-spirited tactics. For example, while the city of Winnipeg contributes several times more nutrients to the lake than the hog industry, including numerous major spills of raw sewage every year directly into the rivers, you haven't banned all new buildings in the city the way that you have the hog sector.

And, as is sometimes the case with such sweeping statements - there’s an element of truth in it. Records show the City of Winnipeg has probably released raw, untreated sewage into the Red and Assiniboine Rivers hundreds of times since at least 2004. In April of 2022 for example, it was forced by prolonged rainfall, to release almost sixty million litres (59.5ML) into the Red River (which flows into Lake Winnipeg) from one of its wastewater treatment plants. To have done otherwise, says the city, would have posed “a serious risk of basement flooding upstream.”

Sadly, while such incidents have become all-too-common, Kynoch’s allegation that they represent “several times the nutrients going into the lake” than that of his own industry (which, we he would have us believe, are either infinitesimal or non-existent), must surely be relegated to the category of blatant corporate overstatement.

Keep in mind, sewage releases like the ones just described are “forced” events - considered unavoidable if serious property damage is to be avoided. Slurry-spreading, on the other hand - and its inevitable spreading into the wider environment - is “baked into” formal government policy. And, while manure could be effectively processed in digesters, or composted, none of the former and only insignificant amounts of the latter are happening in Manitoba.

At this writing at least, agreement has been reached which will see three levels of government spend more than half-a-billion dollars ($550m) to upgrade Winnipeg’s north end sewage treatment plant, the city’s oldest and largest. According to the plan;

The sludge it produces will be treated and converted into a nutrient-rich product that can be safely re-used as fertilizer or soil - diverting it from landfills - removing phosphorus and ultimately improving the health of Lake Winnipeg, one of Manitoba’s greatest treasures.

While improvements such as these have been slow in coming (sometimes delayed by funding or jurisdictional disputes), they’re surely indicators, finally, of change in the wind. Meanwhile, don’t forget the pork industry, government and even some segments of academia have still not budged from their obstinate position that “all is well.” In other words, they continue to defy both the “common sense” and “scientific” arguments I presented earlier in this book, clinging instead to the following;

“The fact is, there never was any credible scientific evidence showing that any measurable amounts of pig manure get intowaterways in the first place.” Manitoba Pork

“There’s no compelling evidence that any of these changes (building more barns) will put water at risk.” Premier Brian Pallister, 2017.

“If all the hogs in Manitoba disappeared, the amount of phosphorus flowing into the lake would essentially be the same.” Prof. Don Flaten, U of M.

Ironically, neither have they hesitated to refer to the ban on the winter spreading of slurry on farm fields as evidence that hogs were contributing only insignificant amounts of phosphorus to waterways. Please read on. You’ll see what I mean.

My full book may be accessed here.

Why does Alberta yearn for the coal mines?

Canada's National Observer

This is how corporate bullies get their way. Alberta’s energy regulator last week approved coal exploration plans by Australian-based Northback Holdings on Grassy Mountain in the Crowsnest Pass region. The approval came after a consortium of powerful coal mining companies sued the Alberta government for more than $15 billion over losses they claim were incurred when the province imposed a mining moratorium in the area. Northback is not part of the joint lawsuit, but it too filed a claim against the Alberta government that will be heard separately. Story here.

Tuesday, May 27, 2025

New biodiversity areas identified for western Canadian grasslands

Alberta Farm Express

Initiatives in Alberta, Saskatchewan recognize some of the country’s most extensive and unique remaining prairie ecosystems. Story here.

Monday, May 26, 2025

Smoke from out-of-control wildfires forces hundreds from their homes in a Manitoba First Nation.

CBC News

The Chief of the Pimicikimak Cree Nation, 500 k north of Winnipieg, David Monias, says some were left stranded for hours thanks to a beurocratic evacuation system. Story here. 

Sunday, May 25, 2025

THE UGLINESS, THE WASTE, THE CRIMINALITY. ALL IS EXPOSED FOR THE WORLD TO SEE.. THE SHAME OF "BOTTOM-TRAWLING."


Please also reads my story which appeared on PinP  some 12 years ago.

By Larry Powell

Canada's Governing Party Blows a Golden Opportunity to Curb the Brutal Practice of "Shark-Finning" on the High Seas. Story here. 


 

Saturday, May 24, 2025

David Attenborough's Ocean documentary has a scene straight out of Dune

CBC News


The structure of a "bottom trawl." Image by Anilocra

Impacts of bottom trawling, industrial fishing in new documentary. Story here.

Thursday, May 22, 2025

“The deadly blazes in the central provinces of Canada mark a concerning start to the Canada wildfires season."

WORLD WEATHER ATTRIBUTION 

Central Canada wildfires

Wildfires in Manitoba, 2021. GOES imagery: CSU/CIRA & NOAA

Dr Friederike Otto, Senior Lecturer in Climate Science at Imperial College London, said:

“The deadly blazes in the central provinces mark a concerning start to the Canada wildfires season.

“They come after weeks of relentless heat with temperatures well above the long-term average – a clear indicator of climate change.

“If countries continue to rely on fossil fuels, the climate will keep warming, and we'll see more and more extreme heat making forests more prone to wildfires in dry years and seasons.”

Dr Clair Barnes, World Weather Attribution Researcher at the Centre for Environmental Policy, Imperial College London, said:

“There is lots of evidence linking increasing temperatures with increased wildfire risk around the world.

“More intense heat means there is a heightened risk of wildfires starting and spreading – particularly after periods of low rainfall – because higher temperatures cause more moisture to evaporate, leaving leaf litter and other fuel very dry and flammable.

“We know that Canada is getting warmer as a result of climate change, so it’s very likely that climate change is contributing to the current fire-prone conditions.”

Theo Keeping, Wildfire Researcher at the Leverhulme Centre for Wildfires, Imperial College London, said:

“Dry winters followed by hot springs create a worst-case scenario for wildfires in Canada.

“Parts of Manitoba have recorded less than half the rainfall that would be expected by this time of year and May temperatures have been more than 10°C above average.

“It's too soon to say if the central provinces could experience a record-breaking season. However, ongoing hot and dry weather is expected, which will increase wildfire risk.”

Background

Since May 11, 2025, large wildfires have been burning across several Canadian provinces, including British Columbia, Alberta, Saskatchewan, Manitoba, and Ontario.

At least 1,000 people have been forced to evacuate their homes and so far, two fatalities have been reported in Manitoba. Emergency services are working around the clock to contain the fires and support affected communities. At the time of writing, approximately 9 million people across Canada and neighboring U.S. states are under fire warnings.

The fires were fueled by strong winds and unseasonably high temperatures. Between May 11 and 13, Winnipeg saw three consecutive days with temperatures above 30°C, reaching a maximum of 36.4°C - well above the average May temperature of about 19°C. (CHNV & CBC, 2025). Large regions of southern and central Manitoba also saw temperatures above 30°C and Environment Canada issued a heat warning to alert those vulnerable to high temperatures (Winnipeg Sun, 2025).

The fires follow an unusually dry spring across much of Western and Central Canada, with several regions experiencing abnormally dry up to extreme drought conditions (Canadian Drought Monitor, 2025).

Officials at both the provincial and federal levels are coordinating firefighting efforts and disaster response measures, while environmental experts warn that the situation may worsen and Western Canada could experience a devastating fire season which usually runs from May to September (CNN, 2025). Intense fire-prone weather conditions are expected over the next week.

In contrast to Canada’s record-breaking wildfire season in 2023, when fire-weather conditions across the country reached unprecedented levels, the current 2025 fire season presents a different kind of threat. In 2023, vast areas of forest were burned during that season as nearly all components of the Canadian Fire Weather Index—except for the Initial Spread Index, which ranked third since 1950—set record highs when averaged across the country.

By contrast, while the 2025 wildfires are affecting densely forested areas in Saskatchewan, Manitoba and Ontario, many fires also occurred in prairies agricultural zones.These fires are at greater risk of affecting transitional landscapes known as the wildland-urban interface (WUI) — where human development meets wildland vegetation. The WUI is particularly vulnerable to wildfire, as people and property are most exposed to flammable natural fuels in these areas. This shift in geography and fire behavior may help explain why, despite fewer fires burning in forested regions, the 2025 season has already resulted in two fatalities—both in Manitoba—whereas no deaths were recorded during the 2023 season.

Attribution analysis of 2023 Canada wildfires

Wildfires are complex natural phenomena influenced not only by climate but also by vegetation, land cover, and human activities. As a result, isolating and quantifying the specific contribution of climate change to observed wildfire outcomes—such as burned area or the number of fire events—is challenging. For this reason, many scientific studies focus instead on the weather conditions that are conducive to wildfires, rather than the fires themselves.

In this context, the World Weather Attribution (WWA) team conducted an attribution study of the 2023 wildfires in Quebec, using the Canadian Fire Weather Index fire danger rating system. To capture both the intensity and the duration of extreme fire weather conditions across the region, the study focused specifically on the Cumulative Daily Severity Rating (DSR). This index reflects how difficult it is to suppress fires, and is appropriate for averaging over multiple days and relatively homogenous areas. Higher values indicating more severe fire weather and a greater likelihood of sustained, intense fire activity.

By integrating multiple lines of evidence—including syntheses of past climate data, historical and future model projections, and established physical understanding—the WWA study concluded that the cumulative DSRexperienced between January and July 2023 in Quebec was at least seven times more likely to occur due to human-induced climate change. Furthermore, the severity of this index was approximately 50% higher than it would have been in a pre-industrial climate. These quantitative findings are specific to the Quebec study region and the extreme fire weather event observed in May–June 2023. Of the hot, dry and windy weather conditions that factor into the DSR, the study found that warm spring temperatures were a key driver.

The influence of climate change on the Western Canada wildfires

The DSR was developed to assess fire risk in forested areas, and thus may be less suitable for agricultural landscapes. Nevertheless, as shown in Figure 1, cumulative DSR values have been increasing across Canada, albeit with regional variations in the magnitude of trends.

Importantly however, the 2023 study identified rising temperatures as the primary driver behind increasing fire-weather risk—a conclusion that can be extended to 2025 . While the specific characteristics of this year's fire season differ, the underlying influence of climate change remains. We can state that anthropogenic climate change has increased the likelihood and severity of high fire-weather conditions in Canada.

Figure 1: Map of relative change in intensity in annual accumulated DSR associated with 1.3°C of global warming (ERA5, using data from 1950-2023). Black dots mark active fires in May 2025, identified with high confidence (>80%) in the MCD14DL MODIS Active Fire and Thermal Anomalies product.

To fight wildfires and heat waves, Manitoba needs a climate plan

CCPA   FACING a record-breaking heat wave in early May, Manitoba has had a devastating start to its unofficial fifth season — fire season — ...